Thursday, June 05, 2008

Bad Weather this afternoon, evening, and night. Extreme Risk of Tornadoes, Storms


It looks like it is going to be a bad night Weather wise. The Weather services are calling for a very bad night with large hail, straight line winds in excess of 90-100 mph, and strong long track tornado's for our area of South East Kansas. Computer forecasting models for the day bear striking similarities to the conditions present on June 8, 1974, when 39 tornadoes touched down in the southern Plains and killed 22 people.

I have the Weather maps up on my computers and am just waiting to see what happens. Below are some on the sites that I have up on my desktops right now.

Active Warnings updated every 5 minutes.

http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/wwa/

Radar

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true&location=USKS0620

Storm Prediction Center

http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/

Weather Radio

http://audioplayer.wunderground.com/xcesmess/wichita.mp3.m3u

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 051711
IAZ000-KSZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-060115-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-UPPER MS VALLEY REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-UPPER MS VALLEY REGIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WESTERN IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. SURFACE LOW OVER SWRN NEB WILL LIFT SLOWLY NNEWD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES EAST THROUGH KS...OK AND NWRN TX. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION.

STORMS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF DEVELOPING ACROSS W CNTRL KS AS WELL AS IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS ERN NEB AND WRN IA. OTHER STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF WRN OK. AS THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES

TO DESTABILIZE...STORMS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY IN THESE REGIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT BOTH SUPERCELLS AND LINES WITH BOW ECHOES WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG TORNADOES.

DOMINANT STORM MODE MAY TRANSITION TO LINES WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS BY EVENING AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST TOWARD THE MS VALLEY REGION WITH A THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND AS WELL AS A CONTINUED THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES.

THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

UPDATE:
Bulletin - Immediate Broadcast Requested Tornado Watch Outline Update For Wt 466 Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2008

Tornado Watch 466 Is In Effect Until 1200 AM CDT For The Following Locations

Ksc001-003-005-013-015-017-019-031-035-043-045-049-059-073-085- 087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-127-131-133-139-149-177-197-205- 207-209-060500- /O.New.Kwns.To.A.0466.080605t2150z-080606t0500z/

Ks . Kansas Counties Included Are

Allen Anderson Atchison Brown Butler Chase Chautauqua Coffey Cowley Doniphan Douglas Elk Franklin Greenwood Jackson Jefferson Johnson Labette Leavenworth Linn Lyon Miami Montgomery Morris Nemaha Neosho Osage Pottawatomie Shawnee Wabaunsee Wilson Woodson Wyandotte
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